Thursday, March 31, 2011

PLDT-Digitel Deal, End of unlimited calls, texts feared

Philippine Daily Inquirer
First Posted 04:03:00 03/31/2011

By Doris Dumlao, Paolo Montecillo, Gil C. Cabacungan Jr.

MANILA, Philippines—The return of telecom duopoly in the country can shore up profits for leading players Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. (PLDT) and Globe Telecom and may spell cutbacks in the industry’s offering of unlimited voice and text messaging services to consumers, lawmakers said Wednesday.

PLDT recently signed a share-swap deal that will allow it to take majority control of Gokongwei-led Digital Telecommunications, whose cheap services through the Sun Cellular brand have gnawed sharply at the profitability of traditional leaders PLDT and Globe Telecom.

The stellar rise in the stock prices of PLDT and Globe Telecom after the deal was announced indicated a growing perception that with Digitel now out of the way, the two companies can now collect higher prices for their services.

In one of the internal memos issued by Globe management to employees when the PLDT-Digitel deal was announced on Tuesday, the Ayala-led telecom unit said one potentially good outcome was that “PLDT is seen to carry the cost of bringing rationality back to the market by paying for this acquisition and that Globe is seen to benefit from it as profitability remains in a more stable and consolidated market.”

Another internal Globe memo obtained by the Philippine Daily Inquirer said: “We might find ourselves competing in a more rational marketplace with better margins as the new opposition could decide to scale back on the unlimited propositions that undermine industry.”

Consumers worried

Consumers are indeed now concerned over what the deal might mean for Sun Cellular’s unlimited and bucket-priced call and text services that the public enjoys.

Sun Cellular introduced unlimited call and text services for fixed monthly fees into the Philippine market, forcing its competitors—Smart of PLDT and Globe Telecom—to follow suit, resulting in lower profits.

“The fear of the public is whether PLDT—that used to oppose unlimited services—might change the brand Sun and everything it stands for,” said Antonio Cruz, president of consumer group TxtPower.

Goodbye to price wars

Technology blogger Abe Olandres of Yugatech.com said the competition between companies, which results in innovation to users, would suffer. “Say goodbye to the price wars (though not really entirely gone). From being a three-way contest, it’s now down to two—PLDT vs. Globe,” he said.

But subscribers may also benefit from the optimization of the two companies’ combined networks, Olandres said. “Big is good for business, but when big becomes bad or monopolistic, that’s what consumers fear,” Cruz said.

Cruz added that the public deserved better services and reduced prices as a result of the deal. “The PLDT-Digitel deal, it is hoped, should improve the Philippines’ standing in terms of Internet service pricing in Southeast Asia,” he said.

Bayan Muna party-list Rep. Teodoro Casiño said he was worried that Sun Cellular’s innovative strategies that helped reduce the cost of services, like unlimited call and text plans and lower rates, would be reversed. “The public has to be wary of potential monopoly practices resulting from this takeover,” Casiño said.

“If this PLDT buyout threatens the economy, puts the interest of the general public in peril, and intimidates an otherwise competitive environment in the telecom business, then perhaps it must be evaluated,” said Quezon City Rep. Winston Castelo.

Castelo said Congress should look into the terms of the buyout because PLDT practically acquired a big market share by “killing a strong competitor.”

Pass antitrust law

Negros Occidental Rep. Alfredo Benitez said PLDT’s purchase of Digitel had made it more urgent for Congress to pass an antitrust law to keep markets competitive and prevent the formation of cartels or monopolies.

“We have to rush the enactment of an antitrust law to determine if the purchase is meant to curtail competition,” said Benitez in a text message.

Insensitivity to complaints

Eastern Samar Rep. Benjamin Evardone was worried that consumer complaints on the poor quality of service and the telephone companies’ insensitivity to complaints would worsen.

“As it is, there are already mounting consumer complaints such as overbilling and dropped calls that are not being addressed by the telcos. This should prod the National Telecommunications Commission (NTC) to intensify its monitoring over the industry players to prevent abuses,” said Evardone.

Pangilinan assurance

During the official announcement of the PLDT-Digitel deal on Tuesday, PLDT chair Manuel V. Pangilinan said the operations would remain separate from each other. PLDT has assured subscribers of both mobile brands Smart Communications and Sun Cellular that they would continue to enjoy the same quality of service at the same price.

As a result of the deal, PLDT will be in control of most of the franchises for cellular mobile telephone service in the country.

70% market share

PLDT will also end up with three of the four third-generation or 3G licenses, which companies use to offer mobile broadband services.

TxtPower’s Cruz said the government, particularly the NTC, should ensure that the new PLDT and Sun network would not eventually monopolize the country’s telecom sector.

With the deal, PLDT is expected to have a 70-percent market share in the country’s competitive telecom industry both in terms of revenue and subscribers. Globe Telecom has the remaining 30 percent.

With the PLDT group now controlling the bulk of the market, the pricing power of Globe Telecom has just weakened, said Campos Lanuza & Co. head of research Jose Mari Lacson.

“Selling Globe may be a possibility now if the Ayala Group wants to extract the remaining value in the company. They may also opt to fight it out, but that will require extra resources, which they or their partner, Singapore Telecom, may not be willing to shell out just yet,” Lacson said.

NTC Commissioner Gamaliel Cordoba declined to comment on the deal, saying that the regulator had yet to receive an application to approve the PLDT buyout. The NTC’s green light is required because a franchise given by Congress will change hands.

Challenge to San Miguel

San Miguel Corp. (SMC), which aims to be a major telecom player after forging a joint venture with Qatar Telecom to launch the Wi-Tribe brand, thinks the industry still has space for a third strong player.

“SMC is now in full-swing to build a brand new mobile broadband network that will be robust and reliable. Our network will address voice and data capacity, which we all know is very much congested resulting in rampant dropped calls and slow data speeds,” San Miguel president Ramon S. Ang said.

“Be a little more patient, our services will soon make a huge difference,” he added.

Analyst Lacson said SMC would be affected both positively and negatively by the deal. “The negative is that Liberty will have a tougher time now that the market space just became smaller for the telecom contenders. With its strategic direction currently uncertain given the loss of its top executive [Anastacio Martirez], we wonder how Liberty will try to position itself in this new environment.

“The positive, however, is that San Miguel’s financial strength has increased relative to its perceived rival, First Pacific/PLDT Group. First Pacific has given up a sizable chunk of its equity in the PLDT Group, which weakens its balance sheet to a degree,” Lacson said.

Microsoft co-founder slams Bill Gates in new book

By Paul Handley
Agence France-Presse
First Posted 04:35:00 03/31/2011

WASHINGTON—Bill Gates plotted to grab Microsoft shares from his cancer-stricken business partner Paul Allen, the software firm's co-founder has claimed in a new memoir.

Painting an unfavorable view of Gates and his rise to the pinnacle of global business, Allen details Gates' 1982 scheme "to rip me off," just as Microsoft was becoming a computing powerhouse with its MS-DOS operating system.

In an excerpt from his new memoir "Idea Man", published Wednesday by Vanity Fair magazine, Allen describes Gates, the world's second richest man with a $56 billion fortune, as brilliant but a schemer from early days to control their firm.

The book, Allen's take on the company's early history, confirms the long-reported tensions between the two partners.

In early 1975, after a test on an early Altair microcomputer proved their BASIC program, they decided to form a partnership: Micro-Soft.

Allen said he had always assumed a 50-50 split.

"But Bill had another idea," he wrote: A 60 percent share for himself, claiming he had done more of the programming.

Allen reluctantly agreed, but a short time later, after they had licensed BASIC to NCR Corp. for $175,000, Gates demanded a 64 percent stake.

Unclear on the rationale, Allen nevertheless agreed.

"I might have haggled ... but my heart wasn't in it," he wrote.

Much later, Allen said, he mused over how Gates reached the 64 percent share.

"I tried to put myself in his shoes and reconstruct his thinking, and I concluded that it was just this simple: What's the most I can get? I think Bill knew that I would balk at a two-to-one split, and that 64 percent was as far as he could go."

"I'd been taught that a deal was a deal and your word was your bond. Bill was more flexible; he felt free to renegotiate agreements until they were signed and sealed."

In 1980 the rapidly growing company hired Steve Ballmer as manager of what was now Microsoft. Ballmer would become chief executive in 2000.

Two years later Allen came down with Hodgkin's lymphoma, one of the more curable types of cancer. While taking radiation treatment, he clashed with Gates over a key business decision, and began mulling his exit from the company.

That December, he overheard Gates and Ballmer discussing his illness, and "how they might dilute my Microsoft equity by issuing options to themselves and other shareholders."

"I burst in on them and shouted, 'This is unbelievable! It shows your true character, once and for all.'" he recalled. "I was speaking to both of them, but staring straight at Bill."

"I helped start the company and was still an active member of management, though limited by my illness, and now my partner and my colleague were scheming to rip me off. It was mercenary opportunism, plain and simple."

Despite Gates' six-page written apology that stressed their partnership's success, Allen said he was determined to leave.

Gates then made one last effort: he tried to buy out Allen at a "low-ball offer" of $5.00 a share. Gates rejected Allen's counter of $10, and, in hindsight, Allen had no regrets.

By holding on to his Microsoft shares as Gates ran the company, Allen now ranks 57th on the Forbes global billionaires list, with a cozy $13 billion in the bank.

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Building up a networked society

Saturday, 26 March 2011 18:08 Rizal Raoul Reyes / Correspondent

THE use of broadband technology in the Philippines will experience tremendous growth in the next two to three years, according to the top official of a telecommunications service provider.

In a recent interview with the BusinessMirror, Ericsson Philippines and Pacific Islands president and country manager Rajendra Pangrekar said the company is bullish on the growth of broadband as there will be higher demands from sports, commerce, entertainment, languages and gaming, among others.

“We still see a 15 million to 20 million increase in broadband subscribers in the next five years in the Philippines. Moreover, Ericsson projects a 2-percent to 3-percent growth in machine-to-machine communications devices starting in 2012 until 2015, and higher growth beyond.”

Pangrekar said the main driver of the broadband uptake will be the affordability of the devices. On a global scale, Ericsson projects a growth of 500 million subscribers in broadband, widely 10 percent of the total subscriber-identification module penetration of the market, according to Pangrekar.

On a regional level, Pangrekar said the Southeast Asian region offers a lot of growth for broadband, and the Philippines, in particular, with less than 5 percent of the population, having access to broadband technology.

Pangrekar said Ericsson believes there is still growth in the short messaging and voice services. At the same time, the country would experience enormous growth in data and the broadband traffic. The competitive environment in the Philippines has increased, highlighted by declining average revenue per user, and cashflow for the operators.

According to Ericsson, operators will encounter challenges to efficiently address the increasing demand for new services alongside the forces of mobility, cloud and machine-to-machine connections. Ericsson envisions the “networked society,” where everything that benefits from a connection will have one. To enable operators to build a networked society, the company said networks need to be more scalable, smarter and deliver superior performance to ensure profitable delivery of attractive services to consumers, enterprises and partners.

“What that means is that the legacy network has been built for text and voice and not for high-volume heavy growth generated by the increase in broadband use. What we see in the Philippines and the rest of the region is a wave of modernization of network infrastructure, from legacy to the modern offerings driven by cost efficiency and capacity,” he said.

Pangrekar said Ericsson has complete turnkey end-to-end solutions to serve the demand for 3G, 4G and long-term evolution technologies.

He said all the developments on broadband will ultimately benefit the consumer. “It’s an exciting time for the telecommunications industry—the developments in broadband, user applications, and the launch of new devices all mean more value for the consumer. What we are seeing is a complete ecosystem that is much more coherent and offers richer functionality to users. Ultimately, we foresee that we will live in a networked society and that telecommunications will enhance quality of life as never before—and this represents exciting opportunities for all operators.”

Pangrekar said Ericsson is capable of bringing the necessary solutions to make network providers more competitive in a more dynamic environment.

“We have end-to-end solutions for network modernization that would reduce operating expenditures and capital expenditures which will provide a cost-efficient mechanism to deliver voice and data,” he said. “We also manage networks for some of the world’s leading operators. We want our customers to be able to focus on differentiation—how can they create more value for their own subscribers?”